Josh Mandell has successfully predicted Bitcoin’s price months in advance, with impossible accuracy.
A Bitcoin prophet has graced us with his presence – or so the online bitcoin community has come to believe.
Josh Mandell, a retired wall street trader and bitcoin bull, has made an astounding BTC price prediction.
Around four months ago on November 5, 2025, Mandell listed three key calendar dates, including March 14, 2025 and wrote a poem to Twitter about bitcoin reaching US$84,000 “on the dot.”
He later offered a bet that BTC would close at this price (referencing the end of the traditional trading day), effectively adding an exact day and time for his prediction. He also outlined three possible outcomes, based on if the March 14 close price was above, slightly below or exactly 84K, respectively:
- A failed rally and a pullback.
- A modest rally to US$100K
- An explosive rally to US$440K
So what happened? On the day, March 14 (last Friday) the price of bitcoin closed at exactly US$84,000.
Well, almost.
While dozens of screenshots shared on X from various exchanges showed an $84,000 close on the dot, according to Mandell himself, the exchange to reference for the closing price had to be Coinbase, which showed a close of US$83,980, a mere $20 off target.
Make no mistake, this is still a freakishly accurate price prediction, but again according to Mandell, because the $84,000 mark was not hit exactly, the predicted outcome shifts to the more modest scenario—”a steady climb toward US$100,000″—rather than the explosive rally to US$444,000.
Zooming back out, the odds of a date and time prediction this accurate for Bitcoin are virtually zero (according to X’s AI, Grok). Even market manipulation couldn’t produce a price so precise. So how exactly did “Josh Man” pull this off?
For one, Mandell does have a lot of trading experience behind him, and he’s highly successful at it. He worked at Salomon Brothers during its heyday of 1990-98, and was a trader Caxton Associates, a $12 Billion AUM Hedge Fund with headquarters in New York, Singapore, Monaco and Dubai.
He’s also grown very popular within the Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) community online. He’s spent the last year publicly trading his BTC/MSTR position from $2.1 million all the way up to $22 million as of March 7.
But his famous bitcoin price call had nothing to do with chart analysis or trading expertise.
“The truth is that I have a very specific prediction based on memories of something that happened 30 years ago, combined with thoughts which seem ever present in my mind,” wrote Mandell on March 14.
Shortly afterward, Mandell alluded to these thoughts being some kind of divine intervention – a message delivered to him through “premonitions” and somewhat vague terms whose meaning isn’t entirely clear.
Not sure what to think? Neither are we – but let’s agree: predictions are just that, and while Mandell’s call is nothing short of legendary, nobody can consistently tell what the future holds for Bitcoin with any precision.
Still, Josh Man’s moment this week has stirred much excitement and disbelief into a market that’s only been sideways and down for the last two months.
Strategy’s $21B Bitcoin Blitz: Saylor’s Back and Stacking Harder
Michael Saylor is at it again, announcing a $21 billion at-the-market (ATM) offering of preferred stock to fuel yet another Bitcoin buying spree.
After a short stint on the sidelines, Strategy is ready to push its holdings past the 500,000 BTC mark—currently sitting at 499,096 coins worth over US$41 billion. Experts think this method of fundraising will allow Strategy to buy bitcoin dips more effectively, rather than only being able to buy precisely when Bitcoin’s price gets a little too hot.
This move comes hot on the heels of their $2 billion BTC grab in February, proving Saylor is still the grandmaster of corporate Bitcoin chess.
REX Unleashes BMAX: Bitcoin-Backed Bonds Get the ETF Treatment
REX Shares dropped a bombshell this week with the launch of the REX Bitcoin Corporate Treasury Convertible Bond ETF (BMAX), a first-of-its-kind fund targeting convertible bonds from companies stacking Bitcoin on their balance sheets.
The star of the show? Strategy (MSTR), of course, which dominates BMAX’s holdings with its massive BTC stash. Debuting on Nasdaq with $24.8 million in assets, BMAX gives retail investors a chance to ride Strategy’s Bitcoin wave without wrestling the private bond markets.
This type of vehicle represents Bitcoin’s tentacles creeping deeper into TradFi. While we’d rather see folks hold their own keys, BMAX proves the fiat world can’t ignore BTC’s gravitational pull. It’s an easy way for people to gain indirect exposure to Bitcoin through traditional channels, while directly inviting more capital into BTC.
Trump Admin Goes Full HODL: Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Takes Shape
The Trump administration doubled down on its Bitcoin love affair this week, with White House whispers confirming plans to amass “as much bitcoin as possible.”
At a roundtable with Bitcoin industry leaders last Tuesday, Bo Hines, executive director of the Presidential Working Group on Digital Assets, said that this is the White House’s intention. He also confirmed that the White House would support legislation to put a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve into law, and pressure the party to ensure it passes Congress.
Following an executive order on March 7, the U.S. is building a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve using seized coins—estimated at 200,000 BTC—while keeping the door open for budget-neutral buys. Treasury and Commerce are tasked with plotting the next moves, and the message is clear: America wants to be the world’s Bitcoin whale.
Stay humble,
Andrew
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